Friday, May 30, 2014

eur/usd fundamentally higher at us morning session

For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, the EUR rose 0.06% against the USD and closed at 1.3602 level, as the latter came under pressure from a higher-than-expected 1.0% drop  the US Q1 GDP data which signalled a contraction for the first time in three years. However, the number of people claiming jobless benefits in the world’s largest economy declined by 27,000 to a seasonally adjusted 300,000 for the week ended 24 May 2014 while continuing jobless claims fell to 2.63 million in the week ended 17 May, the lowest level since November 2007. Separately, data showed that the US pending home sales index advanced 0.4% (MoM) in April.


Late Thursday, the Kansas City Fed President, Esther George, urged the US central bank  start raising its interest rates soon after it winds down its QE programme to minimise risks in the nation’s financial system.

Meanwhile, in the Euro-zone, reports from Italy showed that the Rome-based Treasury successfully auctioned its 10-year bonds, yesterday, at 3.01%, the lowest yield on record while a separate official report from Spain confirmed that the Euro-zone’s fourth-largest economy expanded 0.4% (QoQ) in the first quarter of 2014, in-line with preliminary estimates.

In the Asian session, at GMT03.00, the pair is trading at 1.3605 level , with the EUR trading a tad higher from yesterday’s close.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.3584 level, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3564 point. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.3626 level, and a rise through could take  to the next resistance level of 1.3648 point.

Traders are expected to keep a close tab on German retail sales and Italy’s consumer and producer price data, for further cues in the Euro.

The currency pair is showing convergence with its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.

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